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User's avatar
Sky's avatar

Sorry if you did a column on this and I'm just forgetting, but can you give me some more context on the net wins stat?

What was Raiola worth in terms of net wins? It's surprising that a starting QB is worth less than a whole win on his own in departing.

Also, should we look at the .004 as in this stat sees the additions as roughly equal in talent/production as the person they are potentially replacing?

Brandon Vogel's avatar

Good question, I should be in the habit of at least footnoting that number when I use it, but it's McIllece Sports' way of measuring transfer value and is defined as: "Player’s estimated net win value as a full-time starter on an average FBS team running standard college football schemes/systems. Scaled to a 12-game regular season. NetWin can be negative if a player rates below average."

QBs do have the highest Net Wins value in this system, but only three of them (Chambliss, Mendoza, Sayin) were rated +1 or better after this season. Brendan Sorsby, for example, was 0.72, as what most sites have as the top QB in the portal. Raiola was 0.37, and NU's replacement, Colandrea, rated 0.31.

Those numbers aren't meant to factor in who replaces whom, but one reason I like them is they offer an easy way to ballpark that very thing. For NU's QB exchange, it's down -0.06 Net Wins by this model.